Skipper's blog

Which way is the Third Test going to go?

Which country has the momentum going into the Third Test?

After their stunning victory in the First Test in Durban, England went to Cape Town full of confidence and when Ben Stokes started to hit the ball to all corners of Newlands, the series looked to be England's for the taking.

However, a captain's innings from Amla and nine dropped catches from England and South Africa were back in the game and the series. At 116-6 in overcast conditions, England were on the rack.

England survived without too much of a scare, but with Steyn due back in Johannesburg, South Africa, seemingly at the point of humiliation only days earlier, were suddenly favourites to win the Third Test and square the series.

However, the home side's optimism has been dampened by Steyn's withdrawal from the squad with his longstanding shoulder injury. Suddenly, both sides look evenly matched again, so what will happen on Thursday?

What is most likely to happen on Thursday is it will rain for the best part of 2 days. So the team that has the best chance of winning this Test is the team that wins the toss and puts the opposition in.

So after taking into account form, injuries and confidence, the most important factor in deciding the next Test will be the fall of a coin.

Who will win the Third Test: England or South Africa?



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